A while ago we estimated that in the next elections, the antithesis between Samaras and Tsipras would dominate; that certain people and the parties they represent will define the new political debate and conflict, representing two structurally different political expressions and cultures.

One is financially liberal and politically conservative based on the traditional understandings of Greek society, while the other is Keynesian with a despotic state distributing the country’s wealth, while socio-politically, it is open to new ideas, beyond traditional family and other structures.

The way the election campaign is turning out seems to be confirming the aforementioned estimation.

Irrespective of what the other contenders do, old and new, they cannot escape the dominant conflict, which ultimately defines and leads electoral race.

The current political battle will be waged between Samaras and Tsipras and the result of the European elections will reveal this dominant conflict.

It will also prepare the next national election battle, where most of the other contenders will be assimilated or incorporated. The Olive Tree, River, ANEL, DIMAR and others are part of this transition and will not stand the test of the time, even if they temporarily achieve something noteworthy.

After the European election we will see the processes that will help shape the new, opposing political factions.

In this sense, the European elections will prepare the next huge dividing battle, from which the new two-party system that will almost certainly emerge.

This time the new two-party system in Greece will stem from the Right-Left antithesis.

Things will gradually become clearer and the two main political poles become more distinct.

This is the consequence of the crisis and the disarray it brought to politics. We will experience it after the European elections…

Antonis Karakousis