The latest political developments have placed Greece back again at the center of international interest. The international press and the major news agencies are trying to evaluate the speeding up of the Presidential election and the possibility of early general elections.
Most media outlets consider the choices of Mr. Samaras and Mr. Venizelos to have a huge political risk and anticipate general elections at the start of 2015. They then try to estimate the possible electoral outcomes and their consequences.
Based on recent polls, they predict that Mr. Tsipras’ SYRIZA will come first and based on this prediction, they construct adverse scenarios about the country’s future, as they believe that the conflict between a left government and the troika with all the dominant European institutions is a given.
That is more or less why the markets are reacting negatively and creating an environment of depreciation for Greece, expecting the worse. They are essentially acting upon the estimation that the present government is unable to complete its job and the difficulty that the main opposition has in following the troika’s beliefs and the international financial system as a whole.
The estimations of SYRIZA stem from the fact that the main opposition party is defined by beliefs that are completely opposite to what is dominant worldwide, has an anti-systemic rhetoric, denounces the bailout program, demands an immediate debt haircut, denies austerity, claims the implementation of expansive policies and in general disputes the set of ideas that currently define the European institutions.
The latest appearances of SYRIZA offices in the City of London confirmed this precise distance and different world beliefs of Mr. Tsipras’ party members and officers.
Someone who was present at these meetings in London recently commented that “SYRIZA and the markets are parallel and according to Euclidian geometry, they cannot meet”.
Foreign experts and heads of international banking firms assumed that when SYRIZA came in touch with the global credit system it would enter a “quick maturity” phase, it would adapt, approach international circumstances and gradually mitigate the prevailing negative impressions.
They quickly found out though that the political culture of the leading officers at SYRIZA is very different, miles away from that of the markets, so there is essentially no point of mutual understanding.
In any other case this realization would be of little importance. No harm done. The Left has always been against the markets.
The difference though is that SYRIZA, a Left party, is claiming power in bankruptcy conditions and obviously needs the intervention of the markets to maintain the financial, social and political stability in the country.
If they soon take over running the country as they claim, they have reasons to restore relations and ties with European institutions, the European banking system, the international markets and the Devil himself, if they truly want to serve the interests of the country and its people.
Greece is not an isolated country, it does not act on its own, it is part of the modern world, dependant on it to a great extent and obviously cannot be cut off without dire consequences.
A party that understands the world the importance of international relations and which claims power in Greece cannot ignore the relations of interdependency, along with the obligations and demands that they entail.
Truth be told, a Left government will find itself in a rather hostile environment. No doubt, it will be disputed and under pressure from the start.
Slogans along the line of “the capital is against us” are simply not enough, but rather what is needed is a plan, preparations and above all guarantees and provisions to ensure that the country, the economy and the people who have gone through so much in the past years, do no suffer.
For the time being these do not exist. If SYRIZA does not present a credible plan and give the Greek people safe answers, they risk losing at the last moment once more. They will have made all the effort and not tasted victory…
Antonis Karakousis



