The Ministry of Interior has announced its first official projection, which confirms that SYRIZA will win the 2015 general elections, however it is not certain if it will have a majority in Parliament.

According to the Ministry’s official statement, which is based on results from about 20% of election polls, seven parties are to enter Parliament, with the Movement of Democrats Socialists not making the 3% threshold.

In order for SYRIZA to gain a majority in parliament (151 seats), it will have to receive at least 36.8% of the vote. The latest results from the Ministry of Interior (with 81.24% of results incorporated) are as follows:

Party

% of votes

Seats in Parliament

SYRIZA

36.22%

149

New Democracy

27.96%

77

Golden Dawn

6.32%

17

The River

5.99%

16

KKE

5.46%

15

PASOK

4.71%

13

Independent Greeks

4.71%

13

Movement of Democrats Socialists

2.44%

0

Exit polls results

An exit poll conducted by Kapa Research gives SYRIZA an 8.5 to 9.5 point lead over New Democracy, in what appears to be a major win for the Left in the 2015 general elections.

Specifically, the exit predicts SYRIZA will receive 33.5% to 37.5% of the vote, followed by New Democracy in second place with 25% to 28% and Golden Dawn in third with 5.5% to 7.5%. The poll shows PASOK next with 4% to 6%, KKE with 4.5% to 6.5% and The River with 5% to 7%. The Independent Greeks seem to barely make it in parliament with 3.5% to 4.5%, while the Movement of Democrats Socialists is given a 2.2% to 3.2% of the vote in Kapa Research’s poll.

Based on Kapa Research’s exit poll, which was conducted for in.gr, tovima.gr, tanear.gr and the Vima 99.5 FM radio station, after analyzing 70% of the given data, it appears that the parties will receive the following number of seats in parliament:

Party

% of vote

Seats in Parliament

SYRIZA

33.5% – 37.5%

148 – 154

New Democracy

25% – 28%

70 – 78

Golden Dawn

5.5% – 7.5%

16 – 20

The River

5% – 7%

16 – 19

PASOK

4% – 6%

12 -14

KKE

4.5% – 6.5%

15 – 17

Independent Greeks

3.5% – 4.5%

10 -12

Movement of Democrats Socialists

2.2% – 3.2%

Up to 8


The final results of the cross-channel exit poll are as follows:

Party

% of vote

SYRIZA

36% – 38%

New Democracy

26% – 28%

Golden Dawn

6% – 7%

The River

6% – 7%

PASOK

4.2% – 5.2%

KKE

5% – 6%

Independent Greeks

4% – 5%

Movement of Democrats Socialists

2.2% – 3.2%

ANTARSYA

0.6% – 1.6%


Television network SKAI has also published its own exit poll results:

Party

% of vote

Seats in Parliament

SYRIZA

36% – 39%

152 (146 – 158)

New Democracy

24% – 27%

70 (65 – 75)

Golden Dawn

6% – 8%

19.5 (17 – 22)

The River

6.5% – 8.5%

19.5 (17 – 22)

PASOK

4% – 6%

13.5 (12 – 15)

KKE

5% – 7%

14.5 (13 – 16)

Independent Greeks

2.5% – 4.5%

11.5 (10 – 13)

Movement of Democrats Socialists

2% – 3%

0 – 8

.